Pair #6372

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-MKUC

Valero Texas Open: Will Matt Kuchar make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Matt Kuchar
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 954

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.9800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Matt Kuchar has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-MKUC

Valero Texas Open: Will Matt Kuchar finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Matt Kuchar
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1281

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Matt Kuchar finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:10:06Z

Reasoning: Making the cut does not guarantee a top 5 finish. However, top 5 does imply making the cut — but that direction is B→A, and top 5 finishing implies making the cut (high confidence in that direction).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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