Pair #6371

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-MKUC

Valero Texas Open: Will Matt Kuchar make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Matt Kuchar
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 954

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.9800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Matt Kuchar has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-MKUC

Will Matt Kuchar lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Matt Kuchar
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 10722

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Matt Kuchar is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:10:06Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut, and making the cut does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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