Pair #6342

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-BHOS

Valero Texas Open: Will Beau Hossler finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Beau Hossler
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 19656

YES ask: 0.2700
NO ask: 0.7700
Last: 0.2500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Beau Hossler finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-BHOS

Valero Texas Open: Will Beau Hossler make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Beau Hossler
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1575

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.7100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Beau Hossler has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:09:27Z

Reasoning: If Beau Hossler finishes top 20 in the tournament, he must have made the cut (you cannot finish in the top 20 overall without surviving the cut). The reverse is not true.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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