Pair #6315

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-AEWA

Valero Texas Open: Will A.J. Ewart finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1585

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If A.J. Ewart finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-AEWA

Valero Texas Open: Will A.J. Ewart finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2213

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.3100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If A.J. Ewart finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:08:46Z

Reasoning: If A.J. Ewart finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20 as well. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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