Pair #6308

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-NDUN

Valero Texas Open: Will Nick Dunlap make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Nick Dunlap
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 489

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nick Dunlap has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-NDUN

Will Nick Dunlap lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Nick Dunlap
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8866

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nick Dunlap is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:08:25Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could still miss the cut after Round 2), and making the cut does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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