Pair #6307

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-NDUN

Valero Texas Open: Will Nick Dunlap finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Nick Dunlap
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 342

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nick Dunlap finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-NDUN

Valero Texas Open: Will Nick Dunlap make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Nick Dunlap
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 489

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nick Dunlap has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:08:25Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 requires completing the tournament, which means the player must have made the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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