Pair #6299

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-LCLA

Valero Texas Open: Will Luke Clanton finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Luke Clanton
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1403

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Luke Clanton finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-LCLA

Valero Texas Open: Will Luke Clanton make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Luke Clanton
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 4640

YES ask: 0.8000
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.8100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Luke Clanton has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:08:09Z

Reasoning: Finishing in the top 20 requires having made the cut, since only players who make the cut compete in the final rounds.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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