Pair #6297

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-LCLA

Valero Texas Open: Will Luke Clanton finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Luke Clanton
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2774

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Luke Clanton finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-LCLA

Valero Texas Open: Will Luke Clanton finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Luke Clanton
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1403

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Luke Clanton finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:08:09Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20 (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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