Pair #6296

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-LCLA

Will Luke Clanton win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Luke Clanton
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7373

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Luke Clanton wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-LCLA

Valero Texas Open: Will Luke Clanton make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Luke Clanton
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 4640

YES ask: 0.8000
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.8100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Luke Clanton has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:08:09Z

Reasoning: To win the tournament, a player must make the cut. Winning logically necessitates having made the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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