Pair #6290

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-RCAM

Will Rafael Campos win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rafael Campos
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 22506

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rafael Campos wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-RCAM

Valero Texas Open: Will Rafael Campos make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Rafael Campos
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 2171

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rafael Campos has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:08:09Z

Reasoning: To win the tournament, a player must make the cut. You cannot win without surviving the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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