Pair #6280

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-CBEZ

Valero Texas Open: Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 243

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.8500

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Rules

If Christiaan Bezuidenhout has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-CBEZ

Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 26504

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Christiaan Bezuidenhout is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:07:52Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut — a player can lead R1 and then play poorly in R2 and miss the cut. Making the cut does not imply leading after R1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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