Pair #6279

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-CBEZ

Valero Texas Open: Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 304

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Christiaan Bezuidenhout finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-CBEZ

Valero Texas Open: Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 301

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Christiaan Bezuidenhout finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:07:52Z

Reasoning: If Bezuidenhout finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 10 as well (top 5 is a subset of top 10). The reverse does not hold — finishing top 10 does not guarantee top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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