Pair #6278

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-CBEZ

Valero Texas Open: Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 301

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Christiaan Bezuidenhout finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-CBEZ

Valero Texas Open: Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 243

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.8500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Christiaan Bezuidenhout has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:07:52Z

Reasoning: If Bezuidenhout finishes top 10, he must have made the cut to play all four rounds. Making the cut is a prerequisite for finishing top 10. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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