Pair #6276

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-CBEZ

Valero Texas Open: Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 10538

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Christiaan Bezuidenhout finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-CBEZ

Valero Texas Open: Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 243

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.8500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Christiaan Bezuidenhout has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:07:34Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 in the tournament requires having made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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