Pair #6275

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-CBEZ

Valero Texas Open: Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 301

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Christiaan Bezuidenhout finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-CBEZ

Valero Texas Open: Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 10538

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Christiaan Bezuidenhout finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:07:34Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20 (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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