Pair #6242

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-RHIS

Will Ryo Hisatsune lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 103437

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR2LEAD-VATO26-RHIS

Will Ryo Hisatsune lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 20650

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:06:58Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 2 does not require leading after Round 1 (could be behind after R1 and surge in R2). Leading after Round 1 does not require leading after Round 2 (could be overtaken). No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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