Pair #624

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-RHIS

Valspar Championship: Will Ryo Hisatsune finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 24139

YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 0.8800
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ryo Hisatsune finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-RHIS

Valspar Championship: Will Ryo Hisatsune finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 37359

YES ask: 0.4300
NO ask: 0.6100
Last: 0.4400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ryo Hisatsune finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:04:49Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. Finishing top 20 does not imply finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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