Pair #6237

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-VATO26-RHIS

Will Ryo Hisatsune lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 20650

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-RHIS

Valero Texas Open: Will Ryo Hisatsune finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 32540

YES ask: 0.8800
NO ask: 0.1600
Last: 0.8900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:06:38Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 2 does not guarantee a top 20 finish, and finishing top 20 does not require leading after Round 2. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue