Pair #6234

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMASTERS-26-RHIS

Ryo Hisatsune to compete in The Masters in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 23558

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP5-VATO26-RHIS

Valero Texas Open: Will Ryo Hisatsune finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 329

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:06:38Z

Reasoning: Competing in the Masters does not require a top 5 Round 1 at Valero, and a top 5 Round 1 at Valero does not guarantee Masters qualification. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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