Pair #6233

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMASTERS-26-RHIS

Ryo Hisatsune to compete in The Masters in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 23558

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR2LEAD-VATO26-RHIS

Will Ryo Hisatsune lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 20650

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:06:38Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 2 at the Valero Texas Open could earn a Masters invitation (the winner qualifies), but leading after R2 doesn't guarantee winning, and competing in the Masters doesn't require leading after R2 at Valero. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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