Pair #6230

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-RFOW

Valero Texas Open: Will Rickie Fowler make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 913

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rickie Fowler has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP5-VATO26-RFOW

Valero Texas Open: Will Rickie Fowler finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 650

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rickie Fowler finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:06:38Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 in Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2), and making the cut does not require a top 5 Round 1 finish. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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