Pair #6229

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-RFOW

Valero Texas Open: Will Rickie Fowler make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 913

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rickie Fowler has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-RFOW

Will Rickie Fowler lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 109914

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rickie Fowler is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:06:17Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2). And making the cut does not imply leading after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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