Pair #6223

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-RFOW

Will Rickie Fowler win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 287851

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rickie Fowler wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-RFOW

Valero Texas Open: Will Rickie Fowler make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 913

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rickie Fowler has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:06:17Z

Reasoning: To win the Valero Texas Open, Rickie Fowler must play all rounds including those after the cut, which means he must have made the cut. Winning logically necessitates making the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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