Pair #6221

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-RFOW

Valero Texas Open: Will Rickie Fowler make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 913

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rickie Fowler has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMASTERS-26-RFOW

Rickie Fowler to compete in The Masters in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 58543

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rickie Fowler competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:06:17Z

Reasoning: Making the cut at the Valero Texas Open does not logically necessitate competing in The Masters, and competing in The Masters does not require having made the cut at the Valero Texas Open. These are independent events.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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