Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMASTERS-26-RFOW
Rickie Fowler to compete in The Masters in 2026?
Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 58543
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Rickie Fowler competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAR1TOP5-VATO26-RFOW
Valero Texas Open: Will Rickie Fowler finish top 5 in Round 1?
Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 650
YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Rickie Fowler finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:06:17Z
Reasoning: Competing in The Masters does not require finishing top 5 in Round 1 of the Valero Texas Open, and finishing top 5 in Round 1 of the Valero Texas Open does not guarantee competing in The Masters. These are independent events.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.9900
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A