Pair #62

Antecedent (implies)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR16VUKHAR-HAR

Will Billy Harris win the Vukic vs Harris : Qualification Round 1 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Billy Harris
Expiration: 2026-03-16T18:00:00Z
Volume: 324626

YES ask: 0.2900
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.2900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Billy Harris wins the Vukic vs Harris professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (implied)

KXATPSETWINNER-26MAR16VUKHAR-1-HAR

Will Billy Harris win set 1 in the Aleksandar Vukic vs Billy Harris match

Series: KXATPSETWINNER
Entity: Billy Harris
Expiration: 2026-03-16T18:00:00Z
Volume: 4023

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.9300
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Billy Harris wins set 1 in the Aleksandar Vukic vs Billy Harris professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Qualification Round 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-17T08:00:29Z

Reasoning: Harris can win the match without winning set 1 (e.g., losing set 1 then winning sets 2 and 3). And winning set 1 does not guarantee winning the match. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.8600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: rejected
Reviewed at: 2026-03-17T10:18:03Z

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