Pair #6197

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26APR03SHETIR-SHE

Will Ben Shelton win the Shelton vs Tirante : Quarterfinal match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Ben Shelton
Expiration: 2026-04-03T20:00:00Z
Volume: 20021

YES ask: 0.6800
NO ask: 0.3300
Last: 0.6800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ben Shelton wins the Shelton vs Tirante professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXFOMEN-26-SHE

Will Ben Shelton win the French Open?

Series: KXFOMEN
Entity: Ben Shelton
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 389880

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ben Shelton wins the 2026 Men's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:05:42Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open does not require winning the Houston ATP Quarterfinal, and winning that match does not imply winning the French Open. They are separate tournaments with no logical dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.3400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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