Pair #6193

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-TKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Tom Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3277

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.5800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tom Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-TKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Tom Kim make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 285

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tom Kim has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:05:22Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means making the cut (players who miss the cut cannot finish in the top 10). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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