Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-TKIM
Valero Texas Open: Will Tom Kim make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 285
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2800
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Tom Kim has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMASTERS-26-TKIM
Tom Kim to compete in The Masters in 2026?
Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 11460
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Tom Kim competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:05:22Z
Reasoning: Competing in the Masters and making the cut at the Valero Texas Open are independent events. One does not logically necessitate the other in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A