Pair #6187

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-WZAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Will Zalatoris finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1747

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Will Zalatoris finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-WZAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Will Zalatoris make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 772

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Will Zalatoris has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:05:22Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means making the cut (you cannot finish top 5 without having made the cut). However, making the cut does not imply finishing top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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