Pair #6185

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-WZAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Will Zalatoris make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 772

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Will Zalatoris has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-WZAL

Will Will Zalatoris lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 261788

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Will Zalatoris is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:05:22Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (could collapse in Round 2). Making the cut does not require having led after Round 1. Neither direction is logically necessary.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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