Pair #6174

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-WZAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Will Zalatoris finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5590

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Will Zalatoris finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-WZAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Will Zalatoris finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 19336

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Will Zalatoris finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:05:04Z

Reasoning: A top-10 finish is necessarily also a top-20 finish. The reverse does not hold — finishing 11th-20th is top 20 but not top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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