Pair #6160

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-WZAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Will Zalatoris make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 772

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Will Zalatoris has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-WZAL

Will Will Zalatoris win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1746884

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Will Zalatoris wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:04:44Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and making the cut at the Valero Texas Open are independent events. The Valero Texas Open is a separate tournament played before the Masters; winning the Masters does not logically require making the Valero cut, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0110
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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