Pair #6158

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-WZAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Will Zalatoris finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5590

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Will Zalatoris finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-WZAL

Will Will Zalatoris win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1746884

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Will Zalatoris wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:04:44Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 10 at the Valero Texas Open are completely independent events at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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