Pair #6157

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-MKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Michael Kim make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 965

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Michael Kim has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-MKIM

Will Michael Kim lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 53713

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Michael Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:04:30Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2), and making the cut does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.5600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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