Pair #6156

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-MKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Michael Kim finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2468

YES ask: 0.8100
NO ask: 0.2300
Last: 0.7300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Michael Kim finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-MKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Michael Kim make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 965

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Michael Kim has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:04:30Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 in the tournament requires having made the cut. Making the cut does not imply finishing top 20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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