Pair #6155

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-MKIM

Will Michael Kim win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 519659

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Kim wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-MKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Michael Kim make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 965

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Kim has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:04:30Z

Reasoning: Winning the Valero Texas Open requires playing all rounds, which means Michael Kim must have made the cut. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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