Pair #6139

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-NTAY

Valero Texas Open: Will Nick Taylor finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Nick Taylor
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3924

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nick Taylor finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-NTAY

Valero Texas Open: Will Nick Taylor make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Nick Taylor
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 492

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1500
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nick Taylor has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:04:10Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires completing the tournament, which means making the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not imply finishing top 20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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