Pair #6133

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-NTAY

Valero Texas Open: Will Nick Taylor make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Nick Taylor
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 492

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1500
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nick Taylor has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-NTAY

Will Nick Taylor win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Nick Taylor
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1773252

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nick Taylor wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:03:52Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and making the cut at the Valero Texas Open are separate tournaments with no logical dependency between them.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.1510
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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