Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP10-VATO26-NTAY
Valero Texas Open: Will Nick Taylor finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Nick Taylor
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1003
YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1500
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Nick Taylor finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-NTAY
Will Nick Taylor win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Nick Taylor
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1773252
YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Nick Taylor wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:03:52Z
Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 10 at the Valero Texas Open are separate tournaments. Neither implies the other.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0010
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A