Pair #6132

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-NTAY

Valero Texas Open: Will Nick Taylor finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Nick Taylor
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1003

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nick Taylor finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-NTAY

Will Nick Taylor win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Nick Taylor
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1773252

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nick Taylor wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:03:52Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 10 at the Valero Texas Open are separate tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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