Pair #6128

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-ANOV

Valero Texas Open: Will Andrew Novak make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Andrew Novak
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 242

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Andrew Novak has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-ANOV

Will Andrew Novak lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Andrew Novak
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 121905

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Andrew Novak is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:03:52Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut — a player could collapse in Round 2 and miss the cut. And making the cut does not imply leading after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue