Pair #6126

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-ANOV

Valero Texas Open: Will Andrew Novak finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Andrew Novak
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2318

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.4400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Andrew Novak finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-ANOV

Valero Texas Open: Will Andrew Novak make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Andrew Novak
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 242

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Andrew Novak has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:03:52Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 in the tournament requires having made the cut. Making the cut does not imply a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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