Pair #6107

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-CYOU

Masters Tournament: Will Cameron Young finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Cameron Young
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 138884

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.0700
Last: 0.9300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Cameron Young finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-CYOU

Masters Tournament: Will Cameron Young finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Cameron Young
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 159372

YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.0400
Last: 0.9500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Cameron Young finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:03:10Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 at the Masters necessarily means finishing top 20 as well (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold — finishing top 20 does not require being top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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