Pair #610

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-JSUB

Valspar Championship: Will Jackson Suber make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jackson Suber
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1606

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jackson Suber makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VAC26-JSUB

Will Jackson Suber lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Jackson Suber
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2617

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jackson Suber is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:04:30Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2), and making the cut does not require leading after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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