Pair #608

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-JSUB

Valspar Championship: Will Jackson Suber finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jackson Suber
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 779

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jackson Suber finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-JSUB

Valspar Championship: Will Jackson Suber make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jackson Suber
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1606

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jackson Suber makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:04:30Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires completing all rounds, which means making the cut. Making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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