Pair #605

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-MKIM

Valspar Championship: Will Michael Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 11518

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Kim finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-MKIM

Valspar Championship: Will Michael Kim make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 820

YES ask: 0.3400
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.3400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Kim makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:04:30Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 at the Valspar Championship requires making the cut (you must survive the cut to compete in the final rounds). Making the cut does not imply finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue