Pair #6043

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAJORTOP10-MAJORS26-BKOE

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 10?

Series: KXPGAMAJORTOP10
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-07-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3474

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka finishes top 10 (including ties) in all 4 golf major tournaments in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-BKOE

Masters Tournament: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 135268

YES ask: 0.6300
NO ask: 0.4100
Last: 0.6300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:01:34Z

Reasoning: If Koepka finishes top 10 in all 4 majors, he necessarily finishes top 10 at the Masters, which is within the top 20. The reverse does not hold: finishing top 20 at the Masters alone does not mean top 10 in all 4 majors.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -95.51% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.6100
Days to maturity: 56
Hurdle yield: 4.21%
Excess yield: -99.72% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue