Pair #602

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-MKIM

Valspar Championship: Will Michael Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 11518

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Kim finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MKIM

Will Michael Kim win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 983889

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Kim wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:04:30Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 10 at the Valspar Championship are separate tournaments with no logical dependency in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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