Pair #6014

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP5-VATO26-TFIN

Valero Texas Open: Will Tony Finau finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Tony Finau
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 4679

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0200
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tony Finau finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-TFIN

Will Tony Finau win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tony Finau
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1385475

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tony Finau wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:00:48Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 5 in Round 1 of the Valero Texas Open are completely independent events at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0210
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue