Pair #6011

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXWTAGRANDSLAM-26-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win a Tennis Grand Slam in 2026?

Series: KXWTAGRANDSLAM
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 4621

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Iva Jovic wins a tennis major (the Australian Open, the U.S. Open, the French Open, or Wimbledon) before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26APR03JOVKAL-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win the Jovic vs Kalinskaya : Quarterfinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-04-03T20:40:00Z
Volume: 18997

YES ask: 0.5100
NO ask: 0.5000
Last: 0.5100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Iva Jovic wins the Jovic vs Kalinskaya professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:00:31Z

Reasoning: Winning a Grand Slam in 2026 has no logical connection to winning a WTA Charleston quarterfinal match. These are independent events in separate tournaments.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -52.69% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.5100
Days to maturity: 201
Hurdle yield: 4.31%
Excess yield: -57.00% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue